Kieran Williams The Daily Mirror May 11,
2023
Tens of thousands more Brits were dying than expected and
experts arent quite sure why that is.
From May to December last year, there were 32,441 excess deaths
in England and Wales, excluding deaths from Covid.
Excess deaths are defined as the number of people who died above
the five-year average worked out excluding 2020 due to how Covid
spiked death figures that year.
This means that over 32,000 Brits wouldve been expected to be
alive, but died according to
Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures across this
period.
These shocking figures raised a number of important questions
about what is happening to the countrys
populations, how its changing, and why so many more people are
dying.
Ever since the Covid pandemic, excess deaths have fluctuated
wildly month on month, tumbling well below the five-year average or
spiking far above it.
The spikes in excess deaths can be attributed to a number of
causes, but it isnt clear whats driving these spikes or causing
these drop-offs.
Similarly, earlier in 2022, excess deaths dipped well below
average levels, with one expert group speculating to the Mirror
that a mortality displacement effect might explain why so many
deaths are bunched up in the space of several months, being passed
on from the months prior.
Professor David Coleman, Emeritus Professor of Demography at
Oxford University, told the Mirror that no one knew for certain
what had caused so many deaths throughout last year.
He pointed out that, post Covid, the UKs population had been
changed through the deaths of a significant proportion of elderly
due to the virus.
He explained: Once those poor people have been packed off, the
remaining population should be healthier, there should be a period
afterwards where deaths are lower than usual but that hasnt
happened.
But he highlighted two key reasons that could contribute towards
spiking excess deaths, the fact Britains getting older, and gaining
a larger average body-mass index.
The population is getting older, and also the population in
Britain is the fattest in Europe and rather vulnerable to diseases
notably heart disease and diabetes; some people have been
forecasting separately from Covid that death rates would continue
to get worse because the country is so unhealthy, he said.
One of the noted causes behind a number of the excess deaths
were ischaemic heart diseases which would track with the professors
warnings of a fatter population.
Similarly, when looking at the leading cause of death across
much of 2022, its...