David Morrow is a public policy graduate from
Belfast who used to work at Stormont. He is writing in a personal
capacity.
So youve passed legally binding climate legislation what
next?
Its probably a bit early in the life cycle of national climate
targets for government ministers to be producing self-help books in
most cases, this decade is the first time that were actually going
to see politicians being responsible for meeting targets that
theyve set. In the era of carbon budgets, the marks come back every
five years and even where the five-year budgets havent been set,
2030 isnt far away.
When future academics look to compare governments that took
drastically different approaches to meeting ambitious climate
targets, theyll look no further than the island of Ireland.
The major climate legislation in both Northern Ireland and the
Republic of Ireland is very similar, largely because Northern
Ireland basically copied what the South did a few years later.
Theyre both aiming for net-zero by 2050, they both have hugely
ambitious 2030 targets, and they both require the setting of
five-year carbon budget periods.
Yet when it comes to the respective governmental approaches to
implementing the targets, the difference couldnt be starker.
In Ireland, a government with the Green Party at its core makes
serious, detailed plans that they update on a regular basis. Not
only that, but they have budget surpluses that most countries would
kill for, so comparatively they have plenty of money to throw at
the transition.
In Northern Ireland? Well, weve passed the climate legislation,
then havent bothered with the governing part since then. And of
course, theres absolutely no money theres not enough money to teach
kids to cycle at school, never mind any ambitious new schemes. Just
pass the legislation and hope the civil servants will work it out
on a shoe-string and without any significant decision-making powers
sure itll be grand.
Were not at 2030 yet, so we dont know how this emissions
reduction race on the island will end, but on the face of it if you
were a betting person youd know where the smart money would be.
And yet we have some early indications coming out of the South,
and theyre not promising.
Last week the Environmental Protection Agency assessed Irelands
progress on meeting its climates targets. It reported that they
were way off. Ireland is on track to reduce emissions by 29% by
2030 compared to a target of 51%, and thats assuming that theyre
going to do everything they say theyre going to do between now and
2030 (hmm).
So with all that is seemingly in their favour, why is the South
missing its targets so badly? There are multiple factors, but Ill
tell you what makes it harder at the margins: economic growth. The
Souths economy is booming people are driving more, theyre consuming
more, and ultimately, theyre e...